Conf = Coast to Coast State = MD
Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim NestorGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8090668 home-field advantage = -0.52 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Stevenson MAC Commonwea (12- 6, 88.4) 20- 7 217 A Catholic Landmark (12- 6, 90.9) 14- 1 225 H Washington & Lee Old Dominion (16- 3, 96.5) 14-11 302 A Washington College Centennial (12- 7, 90.0) 19- 5 310 H Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 2, 97.8) 7-13 313 H Gettysburg Centennial (16- 2, 96.7) 16- 7 316 H Roanoke Old Dominion (15- 3, 92.9) 16- 4 318 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (17- 2, 94.3) 7-10 323 A Chicago CCIW (12- 4, 90.3) 19-11 327 A Messiah MAC Commonwea ( 8-10, 88.4) 15- 4 330 H York MAC Commonwea (12- 6, 93.9) 9- 6 407 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (16- 3, 96.1) 15-16 413 A TCNJ NJAC (13- 4, 92.6) 10- 9 417 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (10- 6, 89.6) 15- 7 424 A Mary Washington Coast to Coas ( 5-13, 88.3) 19- 9 427 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (13- 5, 92.3) 18-11 504 H Christopher Newport Coast to Coas (13- 5, 92.3)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Stevenson 20- 7 13 7 0.00 217 A Catholic 14- 1 13 5 1.63 225 H Washington & Lee 14-11 3 0 + 2.17 302 A Washington College 19- 5 14 6 0.75 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.57 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 0 +++ 6.38 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.61 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.47 323 A Chicago 19-11 8 6 0.96 327 A Messiah 15- 4 11 7 0.00 330 H York 9- 6 3 3 -0.41 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.18 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 3 - -2.69 417 H St Marys (MD) 15- 7 8 7 0.00 424 A Mary Washington 19- 9 10 8 0.00 427 H Christopher Newport 18-11 7 5 1.98UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Wesleyan 7-13 -6 0 -- -5.57 318 N William Smith 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.47 407 H Franklin & Marshall 15-16 -1 1 - -2.18 413 A TCNJ 10- 9 1 3 - -2.69OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 0 +++ 6.38 225 H Washington & Lee 14-11 3 0 + 2.17 316 H Roanoke 16- 4 12 4 + 2.61
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.81 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 82.34 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7744 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .7328 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 7.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 5 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 2 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3